Tennis
2025-11-04 - Coco Gauff vs Jasmine Paolini
A Sports Betting Pick by FirstDown
Tennis: WTA Finals Group Stage
Tuesday 4th November 2025 - Scheduled 5pm
2pm (British Time)
Preview
After opening losses, the pressure is on Coco Gauff and Jasmine Paolini to earn the victory in the second match to keep themselves in contention for a place in the Semi Final.
There will have been real disappointment in the way each of the players performed in the defeats to Jessica Pegula and Aryna Sabalenka. However, the format of the end of year Championship does mean that both Gauff and Paolini have a pretty quick opportunity to earn some redemption and the tournament is far from over after a single defeat.
Winning a set in her opening defeat will have given Coco Gauff something to hold onto, but the World Number 3 will be the first to admit that she made far too many mistakes in her loss to Jessica Pegula. The Double Faults have been a year long issue for the 21 year old and the whole of her game collapsed around the unforced errors that she was handing out at an alarming rate.
Most will expect Coco Gauff to be better in this second match and especially as she won the big title in Wuhan after the relatively disappointing US Open.
Jasmine Paolini looked out of sorts in her opening Singles loss and she has since been beaten in the Doubles event too.
The Italian spoke to the media and seemed in positive mood, even if the body language was very much unlike her in the opening defeat to the World Number 1.
She did reach the Semi Final in the last two hard court events played, which will give Jasmine Paolini some real belief to take into this match, but one of those runs was ended at the hands of Coco Gauff. That defeat has snapped a run of three straight wins over the higher Ranked player, and also means Gauff has won three of the four hard court meetings between the two.
Coco Gauff gave up 16 Double Faults in her loss to Paolini in Cincinnati, but reduced that number by more than half in the Semi Final win in Wuhan. The serve is a work in progress and it does feel like Coco Gauff is never that far away from losing confidence in her delivery, especially that second delivery, which is always going to be concerning for her and her supporters.
However, Coco Gauff did enjoy a really successful Asian swing and that will have given her belief, while she won the title here in Riyadh last year.
This may give her the edge in this important match, especially if Jasmine Paolini is still not quite up at her very best level. The head to head against the Italian on the hard courts cannot be dismissed and the World Number 3 may just do enough to get over this line set.
Prediction
Lay the games with the World Number 3 in this battle between the two players who lost opening Group matches.
The Pick :
Coco Gauff 2-0 Jasmine Paolini
FIXED ODDS BETTING TIP :
I'll back Coco Gauff - 2.5 Games at 1.80 with Bet365
