Tennis
2026-06-30 - Alex De Minaur vs Roman A Burruchaga
A Sports Betting Pick by FirstDown
Tennis : Wimbledon First Round
Tuesday 30th June 2026 - Scheduled 1pm (British Time)
Preview
The connection with Katie Boulter will mean Alex De Minaur should be receiving plenty of support from the London crowd much like Boulter gets when the opening Grand Slam of the Tennis Tour is played in Melbourne. The World Number 6 is pretty comfortable on the grass courts too and Alex De Minaur has been set as a strong favourite to get through this First Round match at SW19.
Two warm up events have been played in Hertogenbosch and Queen's Club and Alex De Minaur reached the Final of the former and the Quarter Final in the latter.
Alex De Minaur should be pretty happy with the numbers produced as he has held 83% of service games played and broken in 32% of return games across those two warm up tournaments, while the opening match here at Wimbledon pits him against someone who is perhaps not so comfortable on the grass.
Roman Andres Burruchaga is the World Number 66 and reached his best career World Ranking just last month when pushing up to World Number 56, but the 24 year old is someone who will almost exclusively play in clay court events. Over the last twelve months, Burruchaga has a 45-20 record in clay court matches, but is 4-6 on hard courts and he is making his debut in the main draw at Wimbledon on Tuesday.
In 2024, Roman Andres Burruchaga won a couple of Qualifying matches before missing out on the main draw in a Third Qualifying Round defeat, while last year he was beaten in the Second Qualifying Round. In one warm up event ahead of Wimbledon 2026, Roman Andres Burruchaga was beaten in three sets by Arthur Fery at Eastbourne and the Argentine has struggled with his return on the lower bouncing grass courts compared with the clay courts.
After winning just 60% of service points played against Arthur Fery, Roman Andres Burruchaga has a lot of room for improvement if he is going to find a way to challenge Alex De Minaur.
It also should be noted that since the start of Wimbledon 2022, Alex De Minaur has a 16-1 record against players Ranked outside of the top 50 in grass court matches and had won fifteen in a row before losing to Kamil Majchrzak in the Hertogenbosch Final earlier this month. He got back on track in that situation when beating Gabriel Diallo at Queen's Club and the 27 year old has held 87% of service games and broken in 32% of return games in that seventeen match run.
This is a very big number and opening matches at Wimbledon can take a bit of time for the top players to really find their rhythm, but Alex De Minaur should have far too much knowledge of playing on this surface for Roman Andres Burruchaga. That should eventually show up on the scoreboard as Alex De Minaur moves through the gears and he should be able to find the breaks that will be needed to cover this mark.
Prediction
Lay the games with one of the top Seeds in the Men's Tournament at Wimbledon in 2026.
The Pick :
Alex De Minaur 3-0 Roman A. Burruchaga
