Tennis
2026-07-05 - Jannik Sinner vs Shintaro Mochizuki
A Sports Betting Pick by FirstDown
Tennis : Wimbledon Fourth Round
Sunday 5th July 2026 - Scheduled 5pm (British Time)
Preview
He has already made history at Wimbledon before when Shintaro Mochizuki became the first Japanese player to win a Boys Single Title and so there is some comfort on the grass court. However, the move onto the main Tour has been hugely challenging for the 23 year old who is the World Number 151, but Grand Slam events have a tendency to throw up those storylines that will capture the imagination of Tennis fans.
This is one of those stories- despite winning that Boys Title here in 2019, Shintaro Mochizuki has struggled to impose himself on the main Tour, even on the grass. Strong runs at Challenger events suggested Mochizuki had found his level, while prior to the Wimbledon Qualifiers beginning, Shintaro Mochizuki had been beaten in matches by players Ranked Number 103, 196 and 806.
Three Qualifying wins earned Shintaro Mochizuki the right to take part in the main draw at Wimbledon for the second year in a row, but those wins were against players Ranked closer to 200 than the top 100, while he needed five sets to earn the way past the final opponent.
Shintaro Mochizuki was given a kind First Round draw, but he has grown in his time on the court and the wins over Ethan Quinn and Rafael Jodar are much more respectable. Naomi Osaka has been watching on from the player's box and Mochizuki is playing with a freedom that could make him dangerous.
The layers certainly do not feel that is the case with this line set for this Fourth Round match as Shintaro Mochizuki prepares to take on the World Number 1, and defending Champion, Jannik Sinner.
It has not been the most convincing tournament as far as Jannik Sinner has been concerned, but he will be pleased to have gotten through the first week without too many more dramas after needing five sets to win the opening match. Back to back straight sets wins will have eased the concerns around the World Number 1, while the numbers have improved Round to Round and that suggests this is a player peaking towards next weekend.
He will be massively encouraged by the serving numbers that Shintaro Mochizuki put on the board in the win over Rafael Jodar and that was against an opponent who is not nearly as accomplished on the grass as Jannik Sinner.
Covering will be a test, but this feels like a match that Jannik Sinner could control more and more the longer the players are out there and it could end up being reflected on the final scoreboard. After a competitive opening, Jannik Sinner could roll through the gears and keep his opponent under pressure on the return and it may end up leading to a 7-5, 6-3, 6-1 kind of victory and so backing the World Number 1 to cover this big line is the play.
Prediction
Lay the games with the defending Champion as Jannik Sinner powers through to another Quarter Final in SW19.
The Pick :
Jannik Sinner 3-0 Shintaro Mochizuki
