German Bundesliga
2013-04-06 - Bayer Leverkusen vs Wolfsburg
A Sports Betting Pick by Addicted
Football : Germany : Bundesliga
Saturday, 6th April 2013 - Kickoff 2:30pm GMT
BETTING PREVIEW
Bayer Leverkusen are 3rd, sitting 4 points behind Borussia Dortmund, so there is reason for them to keep playing hard and looking for points. They bounced back from back to back losses to Mainz and Bayern Munich to pick up 3 points at Dusseldorf, and I think they get 3 more here at home against Wolfsburg.
Bayer Leverkusen won 4-1 at Dusseldorf, and their previous win was a 2-1 result here against Stuttgart. When they win, they still tend to concede, and that defence has let them down when the goals don't come, with the team losing 1-0 to Mainz and then 2-1 to Bayern. Wolfsburg, down in 12th are beatable here, but they will be a threat to score.
Indeed, Bayer have scored in 20 straight league meetings against Wolfsburg, their longest such streak against any team, and have not been beaten here in any of the 15 meetings where they have hosted Wolfsburg. However, Wolfsburg have won the last 3 meetings, all held at theirs, and that gives us a revenge spot for Leverkusen to get the win.
Leverkusen have scored 50 goals but they have allowed 35 through 27 games, so I'm not expecting a clean sheet, not with the way they've been leaking them recently, scoring own goals and even losing games. But, they do have home advantage, and I think that counts against a team that has never come here and won.
THE BETTING VERDICT
I will go for Leverkusen, but I think the value is in taking them to win without keeping a clean sheet.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 Wolfsburg
