Italian Serie A
2025-09-28 - Lecce vs Bologna
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 5
Stadio Via del mare, Lecce, Apulia, Italy (40,670)
Sunday, 28 September 2025, 18:00 CET
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Lecce Team News
If it walks like a duck, quacks like a duck, well it's probably a duck. If Lecce lost all but one Serie A match so far, and that odd one being a bore draw, then this is most likely a losing team that will get relegated.
We expected as much from Lecce. As soon as they've lost their main forward Nikola Krstovic who left for Atalanta, they became toothless and their entire hard-nut-to-crack playing style became little more than a team that sits back in their own half. Suddenly there's no danger up front so teams can dedicate themselves even more to offense. Same thing happened to Genoa when they downgraded their offensive pair.
In other words, against this Lecce you don't have to worry too much about your own defence and can send all your men forward. As soon as the teams figured it out, no one scored fewer than two goals against Lecce.
Bologna Team News
Bologna is an incredibly tough team that is now managing to get Serie A wins - not many of them, though - while playing in Europe in midweek. Truth be told, Bologna was only able to get home wins so far, 1-0 against Como and 2-1 against Genoa, with two road defeats but the opponents were Roma and Milan.
This is why we think Bologna has a decent chance to win this game. They'll never be a confident visiting team that gets a lot of visiting wins, but you know they'll get a certain number of them during the course of a season. This could be one of those.
Probable Lineups
Lecce (4-3-3): Falcone - Kouassi, Gaspar, Tiago Gabriel - Ndaba, Coulibaly, Ramadani, Sala, Pierotti - Stulic, Morente. Coach Di Francesco.
Bologna (4-2-3-1): Ravaglia - Holm, Vitik, Lucumi, Lykogiannis - Moro, Freuler - Bernardeschi, Fabbian, Dominguez - Dallinga. Coach Italiano.
The Betting Market
The price on Bologna is 2.05, and expectedly, the Under 2.5 Goals is priced incredibly low at 1.50. Some bookmakers even go as low as 1.45, almost a banker, is it?
Both Teams To Score: NO is priced at 1.67 so this is where some value can be found. If you thought about betting on the Under, it would probably be wise to choose BTTS-No instead.
The Betting Verdict
There's no value in these odds on away win whatsoever. The price on Bologna should be 2.50 and not 2.05, but still, we choose to trust the visitors to manhandle a toothless team like Lecce. It will be trench warfare with few goals, but we believe Bologna has the quality to come out on top. Everyone else did.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Lecce 0-1 Bologna
