Italian Serie A
2025-09-29 - Parma vs Torino
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 5
Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma, Emilia-Romagna, Italy (22,352)
Monday, 29 September 2025, 18:30 CET
Free live streaming at Bet365. Funded account required.
Parma Team News
If you still think of Parma as an offensive team, we urge you to reconsider your stance on this relegation candidate. The loanees have returned, the offensive style is no longer possible, and Parma now plays a slow defensive game. Not unlike Torino -- this is a copycat team that limits damage and does little else.
No Parma game in Serie A this season ended with more than 2.5 goals. Juventus, Atalanta, Cagliari and Cremonese were the opponents and more than anything Parma displayed an inability to score a goal. They scored in a home game against Atalanta that ended 1-1 and that's it for Parma this season in four rounds.
This side will certainly be buoyed by the 2-2 against Spezia in the cup and the subsequent progress via penalty kicks, but Parma only posted an xG of 0.72 in that game against a Serie B relegation candidate.
Torino Team News
If Parma doesn't have any high-scoring matches, does Torino? Well, it depends on how you look at it. They lost 5-0 to Inter and 0-3 to Atalanta so that's technically an over 2.5 game, but not really an open exchange of blows that you normally associate with a football game that has three or more goals.
In other words, Torino's football game can go over only when they concede three or more. They scored exactly once so far, in a 0-1 win at Roma, and that was their sole counter attack that was executed perfectly. You know how these things go. One side has tons of chances, the other side has one and they score it so they look like world champions.
It will be a while before Torino scores again.
Probable Lineups
Parma (3-5-2): Suzuki - Delprato, Circati, Ndiaye - Lovik, Bernabe, Keita, Sorensen, Valeri - Cutrone, Pellegrino. Coach Pecchia.
Torino (3-4-2-1): Israel - Coco, Maripan, Ismajli - Pedersen, Asslani, Casadei, Biraghi - Ngonge, Vlasic - Simeone. Coach Baroni.
Parma will make a few changes to the lineup whereas Torino is expected to do none.
The Betting Market
The winner market, that is really best left alone, favours Parma slightly. These are standard odds for a relegation six-pointer, the home side gets around 2.30 while the visitors get 3.40 or so.
Under 2.5 Goals is the favoured outcome at 1.67 and, surprisingly, Both Teams To Score: NO is priced at 1.91, same as a YES. There's value to be had here for the sheer fact that it's somewhat incredible to expect from these two sides to combine for two goals, let alone score one each.
The Betting Verdict
The price of 1.67 on Under 2.5 Goals at Bet365 is quite valuable as other bookmakers have 1.60 or even less. So this is both the most reasonable bet on this game and the value bet. All in one, how could it go wrong?
Even with an early goal, we still think this match won't erupt into a goal fest. If one side takes the lead, it will simply turtle up and then an under is even more likely.
Another very tempting bet is the Under 1.5 Goals for the price of 3.00. Scoreless game? You'll get 8.00 for that.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Parma 0-0 Torino
