English Premier
2025-10-05 - Brentford vs Manchester City
A Sports Betting Pick by Auls
Football: English Premier League
Sunday 5th October 2025 - Kick Off 4:30pm
This game is live on TV
Brentford
Keith Andrews may be a rookie manager, but he showed that he has got a comfortable grip of this Brentford squad and the players are responding to instructions very well. He should be given all credit for getting the tactics spot on against Manchester United last Saturday as Brentford earned yet another big home result in the Premier League and Keith Andrews will be looking for more of the same in the last fixture before the upcoming October international break.
Big departures in the summer had given the Brentford fans something to be concerned about heading into the new season, but the team have picked up 7 points and moved up into 13th place in the Premier League table after results last weekend. All of those points have been earned at the Gtech Community Stadium where Brentford have a 2-1-0 record having scored 6 goals and conceded 3 in those matches.
Brentford had not won any of 4 games in all competitions in normal time, although they had beaten Aston Villa on Penalties in the League Cup Third Round in that run. That sequence was ended emphatically in the 3-1 win over Manchester United and Brentford are unbeaten in 4 at home in all competitions.
Gustavo Nunes is set to miss out, but both Reiss Nelson and Fabio Carvalho should be part of the squad for this game.
Manchester City
Journalists and fans will tend to focus on any early trend they can find and the question for Pep Guardiola after the Champions League draw in Monaco was regarding the late goals that Manchester City have been conceding at the end of the first and second half. The manager insisted it is not something he is thinking about, but we may have better evidence of his mindset if this game is one where Manchester City hold a narrow lead late in the outing.
The draw at Monaco will feel like two points dropped in the Champions League, but Manchester City are focusing on picking up maximum points in the Premier League before reassessing in the October break. They were comfortable winners over Burnley last weekend and Manchester City are back up into 7th place in the Premier League table with 10 points secured this season. The side have a 1-1-1 record away from home in the Premier League this season where Manchester City have scored 6 goals and conceded 3.
Manchester City went into the September international break having lost 2 games in a row, but they are unbeaten in 6 since then and have won 4 of those matches. One concern is that Manchester City have won 1 of their last 4 away games in all competitions, although they were leading going into injury time at Arsenal and Monaco before conceding equalisers.
Rayan Cherki and Omar Marmoush are edging closer to returns, but this weekend may come too soon for both. Rayan Ait-Nouri is expected back after the upcoming two week break.
Head to Head
Manchester City took four points from Brentford in the Premier League last season, but it should have been more.
They were leading 0-2 here with 82 minutes on the clock, but Brentford fought back for a 2-2 draw in January thanks to Yoane Wissa and Christian Norgaard, who have both moved on.
Since returning to the top flight, Brentford have lost 2 and won once in the 4 home games played against Manchester City.
Prediction
The final game of the Premier League schedule until the middle of October takes place in West London and Brentford are looking to complete a home double over the Manchester Clubs.
Last weekend Keith Andrews out-thought Ruben Amorim and his Brentford scored two early goals before closing down the Manchester United fightback in an eventual 3-1 home victory.
There was plenty to like about the performance and you can expect Brentford to look to expose the pace of the forward line very quickly with the use of direct balls, while also being a menace from set pieces. That is not surprise considering how influential Keith Andrews was as the Set Piece Coach under Thomas Frank and Brentford will feel they can test this Manchester City back line.
However, it is Manchester City and not Manchester United visiting this week and that means the home team are likely to be put under a bit more pressure than they faced at times last weekend.
Erling Haaland is playing at an unbelievable level and will not need too many chances to get on the scoreboard, while Phil Foden looks to have a new lease of life.
Both played well on Wednesday, but Manchester City were wasteful at Monaco and that allowed the home team score a late equaliser. It is the third late goal conceded in away games this season after the late loss at Brighton and the equaliser conceded at Arsenal, but Manchester City have posed a real threat going forward and they can give this Brentford team plenty to think about.
Aston Villa and Chelsea have visited here and created good chances and Manchester United could have easily scored a second goal if Bruno Fernandes had not fluffed his lines when being given a Penalty.
That is a concern for the home team and Manchester City have had successes when visiting here- last season they were 0-2 ahead with less than ten minutes left before capitulating, but Manchester City had won 2 of 3 previous visits to the Gtech Community Stadium.
It should be a game that features goals and the lean has to be with Manchester City to be on the right side of that.
In-play bettors may think about laying Manchester City if they are leading late considering the goals that have been conceded to turn results in games at Brighton, Arsenal and Monaco. However, the feeling is that Manchester City may have a couple of goals lead before that time this time and they can be backed for an important three points in West London this weekend.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Brentford 1-3 Manchester City
