German Bundesliga
2026-09-13 - RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV
A Sports Betting Pick by Niko
Football; Germany: Bundesliga
Red Bull Arena – Leipzig
Sunday, 13th September 2026 - kickoff 15:30 CET
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig need a response after two defeats in four days. They lost 3-1 at Werder Bremen last weekend before Como produced an even more damaging result on Thursday, beating them 4-1 in RB Leipzig's Champions League opener. Andrija Maksimović's goal briefly made it 3-1 in Italy, but Como remained in control and RB Leipzig never looked close to completing a comeback.
There is still something positive behind those results. RB Leipzig have taken 42 shots in their first two Bundesliga games, the most in the division, and their Expected Goals figures are also the league's highest.
Christopher Nkunku is still looking for his first goal since returning, though, while Christoph Baumgartner and Rocco Reitz are among the absentees.
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV could hardly have imagined a worse opening to their second Bundesliga season. They have lost both games, first 2-0 to Borussia Dortmund and then 0-5 at home to Mainz, leaving them bottom with a -7 goal difference.
The defensive problems are particularly worrying ahead of this trip to Leipzig. Sebastiaan Bornauw and Miro Muheim are doubts, while HSV have already conceded seven goals without scoring.
The recent head-to-head offers little encouragement either: RB Leipzig have won five of the last six meetings, including a 1-2 victory in Hamburg in March.
The Betting Verdict
RB Leipzig's recent results make the home win less comfortable than it would have been a week ago, but their attacking stats point towards a strong response.
Hamburger SV have conceded seven without scoring, while RB Leipzig have been generating chances at a league-leading rate.
The price on RB Leipzig is short, as expected, so adding goals makes more sense. RB Leipzig to win and over 2.5 goals is the logical choice, as the hosts can do most of the damage themselves.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
RB Leipzig 3-1 Hamburger SV
BEST BETTING TIP :
Take RB Leipzig to win & over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.76 at Cloudbet
