German Bundesliga
2024-12-20 - Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig
A Sports Betting Pick by Niko
Football; Germany: Bundesliga
Allianz Arena – Munich
Friday, 20th December 2024 - kickoff 20:30 CET
Bayern Munich
Things are getting back to the old ways. Unlike last season when Bayer Leverkusen dominated, Bayern Munich will spend Christmas, New Year, and winter break at the top of the Bundesliga. They won the Bundesliga 23 times in 26 years when sitting at the top of the table during winter break.
Bayern Munich have burned me a few times this season. Each time you think they will dominate and demolish, they play like kittens. Then, when you think their opponents stand a chance, Bayern Munich hammers them.
It’s still mind-boggling how Bayern Munich suffered their first defeat of the season last week against none other than Mainz (2-1). They previously scored 20+ goals in five games hammering them, and now they have lost. Bayern Munich also dominated last week with 66% ball possession, more passes, more chances, more everything, and yet - nothing. Ah, well. It can happen when you least expect it.
Bayern Munich has a four-point advantage over Bayer Leverkusen at the top, but they cannot afford another slip-up right before the break. However, their recent record against RB Leipzig has been surprisingly even. There were two wins, two draws, and two defeats across various competitions in the last six duels.
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig recently went winless in four Bundesliga games (three defeats), but they successfully got out of their crisis. In the last two games, they beat Holstein Kiel 0-2 and Eintracht Frankfurt 2-1, climbing to the top four at the table. Their distance to Bayern Munich is six points, which is not a lot, so they should be motivated in this game.
RB Leipzig was solid in most of their away matches this season, winning in four of their seven away Bundesliga games. Their only two away defeats came against Borussia Dortmund (2-1) and TSG Hoffenheim (4-3).
RB Leipzig defends well this season. They are the second-best defensive side, with just 15 goals allowed in 14 games. However, they have a considerably weak attack this season – only 23 goals scored is the worst scoring record of all top 8 teams in the Bundesliga.
The Betting Verdict
Bayern Munich will be eager for a victory after losing to Mainz last week. They always responded furiously after (rare) defeats in recent seasons, so we should expect no different.
RB Leipzig improved their confidence with their latest two wins and will look to close the gap to Bayern Munich. They have a relatively good recent record against them, so we should expect them to attack for at least a point here.
Bayern Munich is the big favorite, but the odds are too small and do not bring much value. Instead, I would go with both teams to score in this game at better odds.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Bayern Munich 2-1 RB Leipzig
FIXED ODDS BETTING TIP :
Take both teams to score: YES at odds of 1.62 at Bet365
