Italian Serie A
2024-08-26 - Hellas Verona vs Juventus
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 2
Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi, Verona, Veneto, Italy (39,211)
Monday, 26th August 2024, 20:45 CET
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Hellas Verona Team News
Everyone saw what Verona did to Napoli in that 3-0 win, and it's safe to say this result isn't the real merit of this side. Verona should have won 1-0, the rest of the goals are on Napoli. Still, a fantastic result for a relegation candidate. Make no mistake, when given the opportunity, Verona will pounce on it.
This side lacks real quality but is making up for it with smooth gameplay and the forward-facing attitude. They'll take what they can get and will undoubtedly have a chance to play well against all sides in this league.
However, more often than not, they'll be found out and their deficiencies will be on full display. Napoli couldn't do it, but other teams will. Rare are the cases where Verona plays well and wins, more commonly they play well yet the game somehow runs away from them.
Juventus Team News
Juventus took care of Como easily, 3-0, without even breaking a sweat as Como doesn't possess the capability to defend against a top Serie A side. Juventus didn't even have to make much of an effort, courtesy of the mismatch of Motta-ball and a defence that can't move.
Expect good things from Juventus this season. In the last one, this immobile and uncreative side had to resort to Chiesa's willpower to get things done. Now it's different, the entire team is moving fluidly so you don't need a single creative midfielder, which Juventus doesn't have, as the entire team is creating chances through movement.
Probable Lineups
Verona (4-2-3-1): Montipo - Tchachoua, Dawidowicz, Coppola, Frese - Belahyane, Duda - Livramento, Haroui, Lazovic - Tengstedt. Coach Zanetti.
Juventus (4-2-3-1): Di Gregorio - Danilo, Bremer, Gatti, Cabal - Locatelli, Douglas Luiz - Cambiaso, Yildiz, Mbagula - Vlahovic. Coach Motta.
Juventus will be without Khephren Thuram and Timothy Weah for three more weeks. Coach Motta will likely use a double pivot this time around, Douglas Luiz will get the nod as the other one.
The Betting Market
Juventus is a 1.73 favourite and, frankly, that seems a bit low. If Juventus had a fully fit squad and if Koopmeiners was here already then it's a good price. But in this situation it's not that tempting, should be closer to 1.90.
The bookmakers think this will be a low-scoring game where one of the teams won't score and Juventus will win. They're looking at it like it's a 0-1 or 0-2 game.
The Betting Verdict
We disagree with the bookies because we know how Juventus looks like in visiting matches and this won't change instantly just because Motta arrived.
At home, Juventus is a confident win-to-nil machine, and has been for decades. On travels, however, Juventus plays a more relaxed defence and usually concedes a goal. Except in derbies where they tighten up.
This isn't a derby so the most reasonable outcome is for Juventus to concede at least once. It's what they do. Last season they kept 3 clean sheets in 10 visiting games against bottom-half teams.
Last season, the score here was 2-2 and we won the BTTS bet. Here's another one.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Verona 1-2 Juventus
