Italian Serie A
2025-11-01 - Udinese vs Atalanta
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 10
Stadio Friuli, Udine, Friuli-Venezia Giulia, Italy (25,144)
Saturday, 01 November 2025, 15:00 CET
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Udinese Team News
Udinese played two high-scoring matches in a row, which makes sense for this generally offensive-minded team. They first won 3-2 at home against Lecce and then lost 3-1 to coachless Juventus in Turin. You can't really expect such results from Udinese and bet on them, but they're not surprising when they come. If the other opponent accepts an open game, so will Udinese, they can't play a defensive game.
Atalanta Team News
Five consecutive draws in all competitions, 1-5-0 in Serie A in last six. That's Ivan Juric for you. Atalanta is now a side that struggles to score more than once - if they have to it's a real problem - and on the other hand they usually concede at least once. It's not unlike what Udinese is doing. These two sides look like they're permanently playing 1-1 with everyone.
Atalanta can't be considered a reliable favourite at the moment because of the above. When you watch one of their matches against anyone, including this one that will be played in Udine, you'll see a football team that's constantly on the front foot and constantly close to scoring.
Yet in the end the final result is 0-0 or 1-1. It's almost incredible how well you can play football and end up only getting a point. As we said before, this is because Atalanta plays with midfielders as false nines and no proper striker.
Gianluca Scamacca is getting some minutes again. He played two matches at the start of the season and was then out for a month and a half. Before that he was injured for an even longer time as he last played a serious match in June 2024. Nikola Krstovic looked good at first but he hasn't scored or assisted for six matches now.
Probable Lineups
Udinese (3-5-2): Okoye - Goglichidze, Kabasele, Solet - Zanoli, Ekkelenkamp, Karlstrom, Atta, Kamara - Buksa, Zaniolo. Coach Runjaic.
Atalanta (3-4-2-1): Carnesecchi - Kossounou, Djimsiti, Hien - Zappacosta, Ederson, Pasalic, Zalewski - Samardzic, Lookman - Krstovic. Coach Juric.
Davis is doubtful for Udinese and De Roon is doubtful for Atalanta.
The Betting Market
The price of 1.80 on Atalanta is understandable and expected. Atalanta doesn't lose to Udinese, ever, but only won four out of last ten meetings at all venues. One out of five in Udine -- it always seems to end in a draw. Two of those ten last meetings ended 0-0, and seven out of remaining eight saw both teams score.
You probably see where we're going with this. The price on Both Teams To Score: YES is 1.75 and this is likely a better bet than a punt on Atalanta to finally come through and win a football match.
Over/Under is a coin flip as the prices are 1.85 and 2.00 respectively. The match looks like a low-scoring one - Udinese always plays 1-1 - but with a chance to turn out to be a five-goal thriller. This market is best left alone.
The Betting Verdict
You guessed it. BTTS-Yes is the official bet. We're looking at a scoring draw, 1-1 or 2-2, as the most likely outcome of this match. It makes sense -- Atalanta and Udinese are at the very top of BTTS stats in Italy. They're the only teams that have 7/9 BTTS-Yes outcomes this season so far, which is 78%. And we're getting a price of 1.75, which is an implied chance of 57%, when these two sides meet? Yes please. Even with the factored-in tired legs from midweek action.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Udinese 1-1 Atalanta
