Italian Serie A
2024-11-03 - Inter Milan vs Venezia
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 11
Giuseppe Meazza Stadium, Milano, Lombardy, Italy (80,018)
Sunday, 3 November 2024, 20:45 CET
Free live streaming at Bet365. Funded account required.
Inter Team News
Inter followed a 4-4 against Juventus with a clean 0-3 win at Empoli, so the Nerazzuri remain the only serious competitor with Napoli for the top spot. They're now four points behind and they must win here. The defeat to Milan and the two draws against Genoa and Monza are why Inter doesn't have a perfect record, and truth be told, they haven't looked invincible this season. They're still a fantastic team, but a bit less potent than the last year's version.
Venezia Team News
Venezia just won 3-2 against Udinese, which was their second win this season, so they have at least shown they can beat teams or similar quality when they're the hosts. They're not complete pushovers. On the road it's a different story, 0-2-4, and Venezia usually had to travel to face big teams. This is their sternest test to date.
Probable Lineups
Inter (3-5-2): Sommer - Bisseck, De Vrij, Bastoni - Darmian, Frattesi, Zielinski, Barella, Dimarco - Thuram, Lautaro. Coach S.Inzaghi.
Venezia (3-5-2): Stankovic - Candela, Svoboda, Idzes - Zampano, Cavigilia, Duncan, Busio, Haps - Oristanio, Pohjanpalo. Coach Di Francesco.
Even if Thuram and Lautaro are announced in the starting lineup, could we see some rotation finally? Arnautovic and Taremi are both healthy.
The Betting Market
This is the lowest price we've had on big teams in Italy this season, we get only 1.20 on Inter. That's low, the usual price in such situations in Serie A is around 1.40 because of the inherent unpredictability of this league.
So what we're left with is some head scratching and a question if Inter will win with a handicap or not. Contrary to popular belief, teams actually care about points, not handicaps, so they are perfectly content with a 1-0 win, for example.
The Betting Verdict
We feel this might be the case here. Inter will be so dominant that they won't have to score in bunches but will simply get the routine victory. We'll take a bet on Under 3.5 Goals that covers all results up to a 3-0 win. Venezia usually scores against big favourites on the road, but Inter won't allow such a thing.
The Pick :
Inter 2-0 Venezia
FIXED ODDS BETTING TIP :
Take Under 3.5 Goals at 1.72 at Bet365
