Italian Serie A
2024-12-16 - Lazio vs Inter Milan
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 16
Stadio Olimpico, Rome, Lazio, Italy (70,634)
Monday, 16 December 2024, 20:45 CET
Free live streaming at Bet365. Funded account required.
Lazio Team News
After a brief slump that lasted for exactly two matches - a 0-0 home draw against Ludogorets and a 3-1 defeat at Parma - Lazio got back to winning ways, in style.
Lazio first knocked Napoli out of the cup and then won in the league against the same opponent, and then traveled to Amsterdam to play Ajax and won 1-3. Lazio won 10 of 12 last matches they've played in all competitions.
Inter Team News
Inter was humbled by Bayer Leverkusen and recorded a rare defeat - only the second one in this season. If we look at the pattern of results, Inter is a bit worse than last year, particularly in big matches. They either lost or drawn matches against Bayer, Napoli, Juventus, Milan and Manchester City. On the other hand, they have beaten Arsenal, Atalanta and Roma.
This is uncharacteristic for this side that would usually excel in top games, but now they're showing signs of slowing down. Where they dominated last season, now they're getting draws.
Probable Lineups
Lazio (4-3-3): Provedel - Lazzari, Gila, Gigot, Tavares - Guendouzi, Rovella - Isaksen, Dia, Zaccagni - Noslin. Coach Baroni.
Inter Milan (3-5-2): Sommer - Bisseck, De Vrij, Bastoni - Dumfries, Barella, Calhanoglu, Mkhitaryan, Dimarco - Thuram, Lautaro. Coach S.Inzaghi.
Taty Castellanos is suspended for Lazio, which is a big handicap. He'll be replaced up front by Noslin.
The Betting Market
Inter is a significant favourite at 2.05 and this is probably too little, the price is based on Inter's dominance in derbies but Lazio is no pushover this season. As a matter of fact, Lazio did well in derbies and this is a major test of maturity for them - one they might even pass.
The Over 2.5 Goals market is evenly split at 1.90 while the Both Teams To Score market is not - Yes is priced at 1.75, with 2.00 for No.
The Betting Verdict
This match can go in many different directions, but we feel that in most scenarios we'll see both teams find the net. Except for, of course, a low-scoring derby scenario. Lazio will rely on its offense to hurt Inter, and Inter on the other hand can score against anyone.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Lazio 1-1 Inter Milan
