Italian Serie A
2025-10-05 - Udinese vs Cagliari
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 7
Stadio Friuli, Udine, Friuli-Venezia Giulia, Italy (25,144)
Sunday, 05 October 2025, 12:30 CET
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Udinese Team News
You'd think Udinese must be really poor to lose 3-1 to Sassuolo, and to concede two goals in the opening 15 minutes, but it was just one of those days. The hosts played simple football with simple solutions, punched above their weight, and got a double lead early on.
The week before, Udinese were pacified by Luka Modric as Milan won in Udine 0-3 without any resistance, and there's nothing Udinese could have done differently. So, now they're in a two-game losing streak in Serie A and are looking to recover against a relegation candidate that usually isn't doing so well on their travels.
Cagliari Team News
Cagliari just did what they do roughly once per season and got an away win. Lecce was the victim. Before that, Verona fell in April, Monza in January, and Parma in September last year. That's how often Cagliari gets wins on the road. It takes two lines of text to mention them, three if you also list the goalscorers.
Cagliari has a very poor roster of players and a decent game plan. This is the Claudio Ranieri heritage that is still here, so this roster that should be in Serie B is actually doing quite well in this league. But when on the road, they aren't managing to execute their game plan quite as well. They can score to make things complicated but that's usually as far as it goes.
Probable Lineups
Udinese (3-5-2): Sava - Bertola, Kristensen, Solet - Zanoli, Piotrowski, Karlstrom, Atta, Kamara - Davis, Zaniolo. Coach Runjaic.
Cagliari (4-3-2-1): Caprile - Palestra, Mina, Luperto, Obert - Adopo, Prati, Deiola - Folorunsho, S.Esposito - Borrelli. Coach Pisacane.
The Betting Market
Udinese is priced at 2.15, which is an expected price for a mid-table team that's hosting a relegation candidate. At this moment, though, clubs are tied at 7 points, with two wins each. Two perfectly average sides, with one important thing to separate them: the home field advantage.
You always get low odds on Under 2.5 Goals when two bottom-half teams face each other in Serie A and this game is no different, the odds are 1.62 for under and 2.30 for over. Both Teams To Score: YES is priced at 2.00 so it's deemed a bit less likely than a NO at 1.75.
We're looking at a 1-1 score here, with a chance for the home side to take all three points.
The Betting Verdict
It's difficult to call this one. Most punters will be leaning towards the under, and this is indeed a very likely outcome, but there's a chance this game could have three or more goals, especially if Cagliari scores first and scores early. They tend to do that.
Therefore, the best pick is to bet on Udinese to finally win. This is side is playing well and has been really unfortunate of late. As far as Cagliari goes, they're a really poor visitor and are getting most of their points at home on Sardinia. Last season, Udinese won cleanly 2-0 and had a bit more trouble in Cagliari but the outcome was the same, Udinese won 1-2.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Udinese 2-1 Cagliari
