Italian Serie A
2025-10-05 - Bologna vs Pisa
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 7
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna, Emilia-Romagna, Italy (36,000)
Sunday, 05 October 2025, 15:00 CET
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Bologna Team News
Bologna played a Europa League match here on this stadium on Thursday, and didn't manage to hold onto a 1-0 half-time lead against Freiburg as they conceded a penalty kick around the hour mark. But at least they started getting some points as the first round didn't go so well; they lost 1-0 in Birmingham against Aston Villa. In between these two matches, Bologna played 2-2 at Lecce.
Bologna has two wins so far, both at home. The first one was a bit of a surprise as they won 1-0 against Como, and then Bologna followed that with a hard-fought 2-1 win against Genoa. If this side continues winning when favoured - which is the situation they're in here against Pisa - then they'll have no trouble reaching the European spots again.
Pisa Team News
There will be instances where Pisa gets a point, and definitely they'll get all three against someone, sooner or later. But this doesn't change what this team is -- an utterly defensive side that can score only because that's the way this game is set up. So far, they scored once against Atalanta (and got a point) and then scored two when they played Napoli and lost that one 3-2. In other three matches, Pisa didn't score, and that will continue to be the most likely outcome of their outings.
Just watch a Pisa game. Even if they score two here in Bologna, next week we won't change a thing - this is a team to be faded and a team that will be left scoreless most of the time.
Probable Lineups
Bologna (4-2-3-1): Ravaglia - Zortea, Lucumi, Heggem, Miranda - Moro, Freuler - Bernardeschi, Pobega, Dominguez - Dallinga. Coach Italiano.
Pisa (3-5-2): Šemper - Bonfanti, Caracciolo, Canestrelli - Toure, Akinsanmiro, Hojholt, Marin, Leris - Moreo, Nzola. Coach Gilardino.
Bologna will likely rotate a bit because of the European match they played on Thursday.
The Betting Market
You can't win much more than 1.60 or so here. Bologna is a 1.62 favourite, Under 2.5 Goals is priced at 1.67, and Both Teams To Score: NO at 1.62. If you believe all will go through you might as well combine them all into one bet using the Bet365 Bet Builder. Or simply bet on Bologna to Win To Nil at 2.37.
The Betting Verdict
We'll avoid the ~1.60 trio of bets and will instead opt for the win to nil. We believe that if Bologna were to win, it will be a 1-0 or 2-0, the former being the most likely outcome. Bologna doesn't really allow counter attacks, this is a side that can confidently play their way to a 1-0 win.
If Pisa scores, Bologna won't win anyway, it will be 1-1. So we prefer the 2.37 to a simple 1.62 on Bologna.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Bologna 1-0 Pisa
