German Bundesliga
2025-10-05 - Hamburger SV vs Mainz
A Sports Betting Pick by Niko
Football; Germany: Bundesliga
Volskpark Stadion - Hamburg
Sunday, 05th October 2025 - kickoff 17:30 CET
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV won just once in their five Bundesliga games (two draws, two defeats), drawing last week 0-0 against Union Berlin. The results were as expected, with Hamburger SV struggling in the majority of their matches.
Now they will miss two important players for this game. Fabio Vieira got a red card last week and is suspended, and defender Warmed Omari suffered an ankle injury last week and will be out for months.
The most disappointing aspect of Hamburger SV so far has been the lack of chances and goals. They are the worst-attacking team in the Bundesliga, having scored only two goals since the start of the season.
It has been a while since Hamburger SV faced Mainz, with their most recent matches dating back to between 2015 and 2018 in the Bundesliga. Interestingly, Hamburger SV has not beaten Mainz in any of their last six duels, drawing three and losing three.
Mainz
Mainz underperformed so far. They are among the negative surprises, having lost three of their first five Bundesliga games and won just once.
Last week, they lost 0-2 at home to Borussia Dortmund, which makes this game very important. Especially because in the next round, after the international break, they will face Bayer Leverkusen.
However, Mainz put in a solid display last Thursday in the UEFA Conference League, winning 0-1 away against Omonia Nicosia through a penalty goal. That win should restore some of their shaken confidence, and they should do better here.
Bad team news is that Mainz will have to play without their regular goalkeeper, Robin Zentner, who was red-carded last week against Borussia Dortmund.
The Betting Verdict
I rate Mainz higher than Hamburger SV and certainly better than their current standing. Despite a poor start, Mainz should soon return to better results and get more points.
The midweek European win would likely improve their mood, and I believe they are closer to points. However, Hamburger SV can be a tricky side, having remained unbeaten in their last two games, and they may frustrate Mainz.
I would add the draw as a possible outcome here and suggest backing Mainz on a double-chance bet.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Hamburger SV 1-2 Mainz
FIXED ODDS BETTING TIP :
Take Mainz to win or draw (X2) at odds of 1.50 with BetFred
