Italian Serie A
2025-10-25 - Udinese vs Lecce
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 8
Stadio Friuli, Udine, Friuli-Venezia Giulia, Italy (25,144)
Saturday, 25 October 2025, 15:00 CET
Free live streaming at Bet365. Funded account required.
Udinese Team News
The perennial one-one football team struck again as Udinese played 1-1 with Cremonese on the road, a week after getting the same result at home against Cagliari. So it goes with Udinese -- when they score first they'll fall back and eventually concede, and when they concede first then they'll rally and eventually score. Because of this, blindly betting on X in Udinese's matches is probably a profitable long-term strategy.
While Udinese performs admirably on the road and punches above its weight, the home fans in Udine are waiting for a home win for a really long time, since March this year. Udinese is winless for eight home matches now, and even managed to lose to Verona and Monza during this span.
Perhaps the most important thing to know about Udinese is that they aren't really good at attacking a stable defence. Few teams are; even Juventus struggles with this.
Lecce Team News
Lecce is currently undefeated for three rounds, and they got five points, which is a really nice tally that's better than expected. Lecce won 0-1 at Parma and got two home draws, against Bologna and Sassuolo. And suddenly they're no longer in the relegation zone.
Lecce is capable of both high-scoring affairs and nil-nils, depending on the circumstances. You could say they'll do whatever it takes to get a point. If they can do so by simply locking up the game, they'll be perfectly happy to do so. If they must go forward and play football, they can do that too.
Probable Lineups
Udinese (3-5-2): Sava - Bertola, Kristensen, Solet - Zanoli, Piotrowski, Karlstrom, Atta, Kamara - Davis, Zaniolo. Coach Runjaic.
Lecce (4-3-3): Falcone - Veiga, Gaspar, Tiago Gabriel, Gallo - Coulibaly, Ramadani, Berisha - Pierotti, Stulic, Sottil. Coach Di Francesco.
The Betting Market
Udinese carried a price of 2.15 when Cagliari came to visit (it was 1-1, of course) and now the price is reduced to 1.80 for the visit of Lecce. Makes no sense. Cagliari is an utterly hopeless visitor whereas Lecce can hold its own on the road and even sting a bit. This won't be an easier match for Udinese, we would, in fact, rate it precisely the same.
Betting on Udinese to win here is almost equivalent to betting on Udinese to Win To Nil, so you might opt for the latter for 2.75.
The price on Under 2.5 Goals is 1.66, and Both Teams To Score: NO is priced at 1.75. You don't bet on BTTS-No on Udinese's matches for obvious reasons, yet at the same time you can't count on it to go through.
The Betting Verdict
Udinese won both meetings last season 1-0. While the majority of punters would say "what a clean dominant win-to-nil", we'd argue that they wouldn't get a win if it wasn't for the clean sheet. In other words, if Lecce scores, no win for Udinese. That's what happened here in '23 and '22. The score on both occasions was, you guessed it, 1-1.
Udinese and Lecce are now in a series of six consecutive Unders and we think it's this trend that is more likely to continue for a price of 1.67 than the Udinese win trend that is priced at 1.80 to continue.
If you have the nerves to bet on unders - it's far easier to spend 90+ minutes rooting for a goal than it is to shiver with every chance and every shot and every foul in the box - whenever Serie A offers you a low price on the Under it's usually the best bet to make.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Udinese 1-1 Lecce
