Italian Serie A
2024-11-23 - Hellas Verona vs Inter Milan
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 13
Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi, Verona, Veneto, Italy (39,211)
Saturday, 23 November 2024, 15:00 CET
Free live streaming at Bet365. Funded account required.
Verona Team News
Verona is 14th because they have a very good distribution of results - they either win or lose, no draws. When things go well, they go really well for them. They have 4 wins and 8 defeats, and have scored a whopping 17 goals, which would make anyone who's not a team jelous. Parma scored 16, Roma scored 14, for comparison.
Verona has been playing good fluent football for a while now, and are definitely punching above their weight. This team still can't control a football game though. It's all gung ho here, it will either work or not. In their previous home game it worked as they defeated Roma 3-2 with a late goal, and after that it didn't work as they fell to a clean 3-1 defeat at Fiorentina.
Inter Team News
Inter played 1-1 against Napoli before the international break and is therefore undefeated for 10 matches in all competitions after losing the derby against AC Milan in September. This sounds good but is barely enough to keep the last Champions League spot on goal difference ahead of Lazio. Inter is 4th because they won only 7 of 12 matches in the league. The top six are all within 2 points so it could all change drastically in one round or with a series of wins.
Probable Lineups
Verona (4-2-3-1): Montipo - Tchatchoua, Magnani, Dawidowicz, Bradaric - Serdar, Belahyane - Suslov, Harroui, Lazovic - Tengstedt. Coach Zanetti.
Inter (3-5-2): Sommer - Pavard, Acerbi, Bastoni - Darmian, Barella, Asslani, Mkhitaryan, Dimarco - Thuram, Lautaro. Coach S.Inzaghi.
The Betting Market
You can get 1.40 on Inter, which means the bookmakers think Verona stands no chance here despite already beating Roma 3-2 and Napoli 3-0 here on this stadium. How many wins against favourites are needed before you're wary of an underdog?
The price on Over 2.5 Goals is 1.66, while the Both Teams To Score: YES is priced at 1.95, with a 1.80 for NO. This would indicate that the expected score is 0-3 here.
The Betting Verdict
We don't agree with the assesment that Inter will walk over Verona here. They might if the hosts fall apart at some point, like they did in a 6-1 defeat at Atalanta or a 0-3 defeat to Juventus. But let's forget about the winner market - there's a noticeable trend in Verona's matches against big teams. All five were high-scoring, and Inter will gladly accept an open exchange of blows.
The Pick :
Verona 1-2 Milan
FIXED ODDS BETTING TIP :
Take Over 2.5 Goals at 1.66 at Bet365
