Italian Serie A
2024-12-01 - Fiorentina vs Inter Milan
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 14
Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florenze, Tuscany, Italy (43,147)
Sunday, 1 December 2024, 18:00 CET
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Fiorentina Team News
Fiorentina is equal to Inter in points as both sides have 28, and is also the fourth-best side in Italy when it comes to scoring goals. What's surprising is that Fiorentina only conceded 10 times, the third-best mark in the league after Juventus and Napoli.
In short, Fiorentina is doing well. They played quite a few derbies so far and this will be their biggest one. In the others they played offensively so we can expect the same here, especially as they're playing in front of their own fans. They'll take Inter on, they feel like they can.
Inter Team News
Inter barely won 1-0 against Leipzig in the Champions League but that's Inter for you, they'll just take the win and won't necessarily care about covering your Asian handicaps.
Other than the home draws against Juventus and Napoli, Inter is in a long winning streak in all competition that spans ten matches. They needed some time to get going in this season as their early results were horrible, but this is the same Inter we've known for two seasons now.
Probable Lineups
Fiorentina (4-2-3-1): De Gea - Dodo, Comuzzo, Ranieri, Gosens - Mandragora, Adli - Colpani, Gudmundsson, Bove - Kean. Coach Palladino.
Inter (3-5-2): Sommer - Bisseck, De Vrij, Bastoni - Darmian, Barella, Calhanoglu, Mkhitaryan, Dimarco - Thuram, Lautaro. Coach S.Inzaghi.
Gudmundsson returns for Fiorentina.
The Betting Market
Lots of good bets here. Let's start with the 2.07 on Inter, you know they will win a derby against a top-six side that's not Juventus. They just have a way of overpowering opponents in this range, that's what they do perhaps even better than beating the lowly sides.
Reason being, the top-six sides think they stand a chance, so they play offensively.
The other quality bet is Both Teams To Score: YES because the bookmakers are far too kind with the 1.75. Should be 1.66 or so, as Fiorentina is really good offensively this season and it's not a fluke, this team can play. They scored at least twice against all top sides they faced this season: Atalanta, Lazio, Milan, Roma.
The Betting Verdict
We'll opt for the BTTS as we feel the value here is greater than in the 2.07 on Inter. Especially as Gudmundsson is back to make Fiorentina's offense even more potent. It's almost certain both teams will do the scoring here, so you can take it as a given and then add something else to it using the Bet365 Bet Builder to make matters more interesting.
If you combine the BTTS with Over 2.5 Goals you'd get 2.20, and if you combine BTTS with an Inter win you get 4.20 as this also implies at least three goals. We suspect you'd do well in Serie A if you used this particular bet combination often - BTTS and one of the teams to win.
BTTS and Fiorentina to win? That's 7.00. Just saying.
The Pick :
Fiorentina 1-2 Inter Milan
