Italian Serie A
2024-12-28 - Cagliari vs Inter Milan
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 18
Unipol Domus, Cagliari, Sardinia, Italy (16,416)
Saturday, 26 December 2024, 18:00 CET
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Cagliari Team News
Cagliari is now on a four-game skid in all competitions that came after a 1-0 home win against Verona that possibly made Cagliari think they're better than they are. Losses to Fiorentina, Atalanta and Juventus followed - all without a score - and then Cagliari lost at Venezia 2-1 to keep the losing run going.
Inter Team News
Even a record such as 11-4-1 isn't enough to top the Serie A table this season, but Inter will soon be at the summit if they keep the winning streak going and if they win their postponed match - they played 16 matches compared to Napoli's and Atalanta's 17.
After it took them some time to get the gears rolling at the start of the season, Inter has been steamrolling everyone once they got into the groove. Also, since the mid-September match at Monza that ended 1-1, Inter hasn't spilled a single point against non-top-six teams.
Probable Lineups
Cagliari (4-2-3-1): Sherri - Zappa, Mina, Luperto, Obert - Adopo, Makombou - Zortea, Viola, Augello - Piccoli. Coach Nicola.
Inter (3-5-2): Sommer - Bisseck, Bastoni, Carlos Augusto - Dumfries, Barella, Calhanoglu, Mkhitaryan, Dimarco - Thuram, Lautaro. Coach S.Inzaghi.
The Betting Market
Inter is a 1.42 favourite, as expected, and the price is perhaps a bit too short. This is a visiting game, after all. We feel 1.50 would be the more correct price here -- Cagliari already took a point against Roma, Juventus and Milan this season.
Last season, the score here was 0-2 for Inter but Cagliari took a point in Milano with 2-2.
The Betting Market
Cagliari will probably approach this game as a festival of football where they have nothing to lose, only gain. Cagliari has already played a few matches like this against the big teams so it would be no surprise to see them seize the opportunity against a possibly complacent Inter side. We think both teams will find the net, and Inter will need to add a second goal in order to claim the three points. We'll use the Bet365 Bet Builder to get to the price of 2.15 by combining the BTTS-Yes and Over 2.5 Goals bets.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Cagliari 1-3 Inter
